Manny's Variety Picks

[Elite] Utah Jazz +12.5 (-115) | WinProb: 85.9% — Void

Manny's Variety Picks published Utah Jazz +12.5 (-115) at -115 on 2026-03-23 in NBA. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it was voided, settling +0.00 units.

The record

Selection
Utah Jazz +12.5 (-115)
Event
Toronto Raptors @ Utah Jazz
Price published at
-115
Market open → close
-115 → -110
Closing line value
-1.1 percentage points
Result
voided
Profit / loss
+0.00 units
Published
2026-03-23
Graded
2026-05-09

What the price required

At -115, this selection had to win 53.5% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -115 and the market closed at -110, a closing line value of -1.1 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or NBA coverage on the NBA page.