Manny's Variety Picks

SEA @ BAL — ML: Seattle Mariners — Lost

Manny's Variety Picks published Seattle Mariners at -125 on 2026-06-10 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it lost, settling -1.00 units.

The record

Selection
Seattle Mariners
Event
SEA @ BAL
Price published at
-125
Market open → close
-125 → -110
Closing line value
-3.2 percentage points
Result
lost
Profit / loss
-1.00 units
Published
2026-06-10
Graded
2026-06-11

What the price required

At -125, this selection had to win 55.6% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -125 and the market closed at -110, a closing line value of -3.2 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.