Manny's Variety Picks

MLB Total of the Day — CHC @ COL — Over 11 — Won

Manny's Variety Picks published Over 11 at -117 on 2026-06-11 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it won, settling +0.43 units.

The record

Selection
Over 11
Event
CHC @ COL
Price published at
-117
Market open → close
-117 → -115
Closing line value
-0.4 percentage points
Result
won
Profit / loss
+0.43 units
Published
2026-06-11
Graded
2026-06-11

What the price required

At -117, this selection had to win 53.9% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -117 and the market closed at -115, a closing line value of -0.4 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.