Manny's Variety Picks

SEA @ BAL — ML: Baltimore Orioles — Won

Manny's Variety Picks published Baltimore Orioles at -105 on 2026-06-11 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it won, settling +1.19 units.

The record

Selection
Baltimore Orioles
Event
SEA @ BAL
Price published at
-105
Market open → close
-105 → -102
Closing line value
-0.7 percentage points
Result
won
Profit / loss
+1.19 units
Published
2026-06-11
Graded
2026-06-12

What the price required

At -105, this selection had to win 51.2% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -105 and the market closed at -102, a closing line value of -0.7 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.