Manny's Variety Picks

MLB Total of the Day — SEA @ PIT — Under 8.5 — Won

Manny's Variety Picks published Under 8.5 at -111 on 2026-06-25 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it won, settling +0.45 units.

The record

Selection
Under 8.5
Event
SEA @ PIT
Price published at
-111
Market open → close
-111 → -120
Closing line value
+1.9 percentage points
Result
won
Profit / loss
+0.45 units
Published
2026-06-25
Graded
2026-06-25

What the price required

At -111, this selection had to win 52.6% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -111 and the market closed at -120, a closing line value of +1.9 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.