Manny's Variety Picks

CHC @ MIL — ML: Milwaukee Brewers — Won

Manny's Variety Picks published Milwaukee Brewers at -280 on 2026-06-26 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it won, settling +0.54 units.

The record

Selection
Milwaukee Brewers
Event
CHC @ MIL
Price published at
-280
Market open → close
-280 → -255
Closing line value
-1.8 percentage points
Result
won
Profit / loss
+0.54 units
Published
2026-06-26
Graded
2026-06-27

What the price required

At -280, this selection had to win 73.7% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -280 and the market closed at -255, a closing line value of -1.8 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.