Manny's Variety Picks

PHI @ NYM — ML: Philadelphia Phillies — Lost

Manny's Variety Picks published Philadelphia Phillies at +114 on 2026-06-27 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it lost, settling -1.50 units.

The record

Selection
Philadelphia Phillies
Event
PHI @ NYM
Price published at
+114
Market open → close
+114 → +110
Closing line value
+0.9 percentage points
Result
lost
Profit / loss
-1.50 units
Published
2026-06-27
Graded
2026-06-28

What the price required

At +114, this selection had to win 46.7% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at +114 and the market closed at +110, a closing line value of +0.9 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.