Manny's Variety Picks

MLB ML #2 — Tampa Bay Rays (-137) — Won

Manny's Variety Picks published Tampa Bay Rays at -137 on 2026-07-01 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it won, settling +0.91 units.

The record

Selection
Tampa Bay Rays
Event
TB @ KC
Price published at
-137
Market open → close
-137 → -131
Closing line value
-1.1 percentage points
Result
won
Profit / loss
+0.91 units
Published
2026-07-01
Graded
2026-07-02

What the price required

At -137, this selection had to win 57.8% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -137 and the market closed at -131, a closing line value of -1.1 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.