Manny's Variety Picks

MLB ML #2 — Chicago White Sox (-114) — Won

Manny's Variety Picks published Chicago White Sox at -114 on 2026-07-19 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it won, settling +0.66 units.

The record

Selection
Chicago White Sox
Event
CHW @ TOR
Price published at
-114
Market open → close
-114 → -115
Closing line value
+0.2 percentage points
Result
won
Profit / loss
+0.66 units
Published
2026-07-19
Graded
2026-07-19

What the price required

At -114, this selection had to win 53.3% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -114 and the market closed at -115, a closing line value of +0.2 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.