Manny's Variety Picks

ATL @ NYM — ML: Atlanta Braves — Lost

Manny's Variety Picks published Atlanta Braves at -118 on 2026-07-27 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it lost, settling -1.50 units.

The record

Selection
Atlanta Braves
Event
ATL @ NYM
Price published at
-118
Market open → close
-118 → -109
Closing line value
-2.0 percentage points
Result
lost
Profit / loss
-1.50 units
Published
2026-07-27
Graded
2026-07-28

What the price required

At -118, this selection had to win 54.1% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -118 and the market closed at -109, a closing line value of -2.0 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.