Manny's Variety Picks

CLE @ CIN — ML: Cincinnati Reds — Push

Manny's Variety Picks published Cincinnati Reds at -167 on 2026-07-27 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it pushed, settling +0.00 units.

The record

Selection
Cincinnati Reds
Event
CLE @ CIN
Price published at
-167
Market open → close
-167 → -165
Closing line value
-0.3 percentage points
Result
pushed
Profit / loss
+0.00 units
Published
2026-07-27
Graded
2026-07-27

What the price required

At -167, this selection had to win 62.5% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -167 and the market closed at -165, a closing line value of -0.3 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.