MLB Play of the Day — MIL @ SF — ML: Milwaukee Brewers — Lost
Manny's Variety Picks published Milwaukee Brewers at -126 on 2026-07-29 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it lost, settling -1.50 units.
The record
- Selection
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Event
- MIL @ SF
- Price published at
- -126
- Market open → close
- -126 → -121
- Closing line value
- -1.0 percentage points
- Result
- lost
- Profit / loss
- -1.50 units
- Published
- 2026-07-29
- Graded
- 2026-07-29
What the price required
At -126, this selection had to win 55.8% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.
What the market did afterwards
This selection was taken at -126 and the market closed at -121, a closing line value of -1.0 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.
How this report was produced
A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.
The full record
This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.