STL @ TOR — ML: St. Louis Cardinals — Lost
Manny's Variety Picks published St. Louis Cardinals at +144 on 2026-07-31 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it lost, settling -1.00 units.
The record
- Selection
- St. Louis Cardinals
- Event
- STL @ TOR
- Price published at
- +144
- Market open → close
- +144 → +158
- Closing line value
- -2.2 percentage points
- Result
- lost
- Profit / loss
- -1.00 units
- Published
- 2026-07-31
- Graded
- 2026-08-01
What the price required
At +144, this selection had to win 41.0% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.
What the market did afterwards
This selection was taken at +144 and the market closed at +158, a closing line value of -2.2 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.
How this report was produced
A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.
The full record
This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.