MLB Play of the Day — PHI @ BAL — ML: Philadelphia Phillies — Won
Manny's Variety Picks published Philadelphia Phillies at -144 on 2026-08-02 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it won, settling +0.69 units.
The record
- Selection
- Philadelphia Phillies
- Event
- PHI @ BAL
- Price published at
- -144
- Market open → close
- -144 → -152
- Closing line value
- +1.3 percentage points
- Result
- won
- Profit / loss
- +0.69 units
- Published
- 2026-08-02
- Graded
- 2026-08-03
What the price required
At -144, this selection had to win 59.0% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.
What the market did afterwards
This selection was taken at -144 and the market closed at -152, a closing line value of +1.3 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.
How this report was produced
A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.
The full record
This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.