MLB ML #2 — Minnesota Twins (-118) — Lost

Manny's Variety Picks published Minnesota Twins at -118 on 2026-08-11 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it lost, settling -0.75 units.

The record

Selection

Minnesota Twins

Event

BAL @ MIN

Price published at

-118

Market open → close

-118 → -111

Closing line value

-1.5 percentage points

Result

lost

Profit / loss

-0.75 units

Published

2026-08-11

Graded

2026-08-12

What the price required

At -118, this selection had to win 54.1% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -118 and the market closed at -111, a closing line value of -1.5 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.