Manny's Variety Picks

MLB ML #2 — Atlanta Braves (-157) — Won

Manny's Variety Picks published Atlanta Braves at -157 on 2026-08-12 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it won, settling +0.64 units.

The record

Selection
Atlanta Braves
Event
NYM @ ATL
Price published at
-157
Market open → close
-157 → -173
Closing line value
+2.3 percentage points
Result
won
Profit / loss
+0.64 units
Published
2026-08-12
Graded
2026-08-13

What the price required

At -157, this selection had to win 61.1% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -157 and the market closed at -173, a closing line value of +2.3 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.