MLB Moneyline of the Day — Boston Red Sox (-158) — Lost

Manny's Variety Picks published Boston Red Sox at -158 on 2026-08-19 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it lost, settling -1.00 units.

The record

Selection

Boston Red Sox

Event

ARI @ BOS

Price published at

-158

Market open → close

-158 → -159

Closing line value

+0.2 percentage points

Result

lost

Profit / loss

-1.00 units

Published

2026-08-19

Graded

2026-08-20

What the price required

At -158, this selection had to win 61.2% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -158 and the market closed at -159, a closing line value of +0.2 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.