Manny's Variety Picks

MLB Moneyline of the Day — Cleveland Guardians (-165) — Won

Manny's Variety Picks published Cleveland Guardians at -165 on 2026-08-23 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it won, settling +0.61 units.

The record

Selection
Cleveland Guardians
Event
CLE @ COL
Price published at
-165
Market open → close
-165 → -157
Closing line value
-1.2 percentage points
Result
won
Profit / loss
+0.61 units
Published
2026-08-23
Graded
2026-08-23

What the price required

At -165, this selection had to win 62.3% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -165 and the market closed at -157, a closing line value of -1.2 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.