MVP — Manny's Variety Picks — Sports Intelligence

SMU Mustangs -32 — Lost

Manny's Variety Picks published SMU Mustangs -32 at -107 on 2026-09-26 in CFB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it lost, settling -0.50 units.

The record

Selection
SMU Mustangs -32
Event
Missouri State Bears at SMU Mustangs
Price published at
-107
Result
lost
Profit / loss
-0.50 units
Published
2026-09-26
Graded
2026-09-27

What the price required

At -107, this selection had to win 51.7% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive.