NBA Alt Spread of the Day — Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5 — Won

Manny's Variety Picks published Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5 at -188 on 2026-10-22 in NBA. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it won, settling +0.80 units.

The record

Selection

Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5

Event

Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder

Price published at

-188

Result

won

Profit / loss

+0.80 units

Published

2026-10-22

Graded

2026-10-23

What the price required

At -188, this selection had to win 65.3% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or NBA coverage on the NBA page.