6-Leg Lotto Ticket — Lost
Manny's Variety Picks published Milwaukee Bucks +12.5 at +5034 on 2026-03-25 in NBA. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it lost, settling -0.75 units.
The record
- Selection
- Milwaukee Bucks +12.5
- Event
- Milwaukee Bucks @ Portland Trail Blazers
- Price published at
- +5034
- Market open → close
- +5034 → -108
- Closing line value
- +50.0 percentage points
- Result
- lost
- Profit / loss
- -0.75 units
- Published
- 2026-03-25
- Graded
- 2026-03-25
What the price required
At +5034, this selection had to win 1.9% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.
What the market did afterwards
This selection was taken at +5034 and the market closed at -108, a closing line value of +50.0 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.
How this report was produced
A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.
The full record
This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or NBA coverage on the NBA page.