[Elite] Under 222.5 (-110) | WinProb: 96.5% — Won

Manny's Variety Picks published Under 222.5 (-110) at -110 on 2026-03-30 in NBA. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it won, settling +1.36 units.

The record

Selection

Under 222.5 (-110)

Event

Boston Celtics @ Atlanta Hawks

Price published at

-110

Market open → close

-110 → +110

Closing line value

-4.8 percentage points

Result

won

Profit / loss

+1.36 units

Published

2026-03-30

Graded

2026-04-01

What the price required

At -110, this selection had to win 52.4% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -110 and the market closed at +110, a closing line value of -4.8 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or NBA coverage on the NBA page.