SF @ BAL — ML: Baltimore Orioles — Won

Manny's Variety Picks published Baltimore Orioles at -337 on 2026-04-12 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it won, settling +0.37 units.

The record

Selection

Baltimore Orioles

Event

SF @ BAL

Price published at

-337

Market open → close

-337 → -123

Closing line value

-22.0 percentage points

Result

won

Profit / loss

+0.37 units

Published

2026-04-12

Graded

2026-08-06

What the price required

At -337, this selection had to win 77.1% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -337 and the market closed at -123, a closing line value of -22.0 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.