MVP — Manny's Variety Picks — Sports Intelligence

MLB Threshold PITCHER K #1 - TEX @ LAD — Jacob deGrom Over 5.5 Ks — Void

Manny's Variety Picks published Jacob deGrom Over 5.5 Ks at -110 on 2026-04-12 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it was voided, settling +0.00 units.

The record

Selection
Jacob deGrom Over 5.5 Ks
Event
TEX @ LAD
Price published at
-110
Market open → close
-110 → -161
Closing line value
+9.3 percentage points
Result
voided
Profit / loss
+0.00 units
Published
2026-04-17
Graded
2026-09-11

What the price required

At -110, this selection had to win 52.4% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -110 and the market closed at -161, a closing line value of +9.3 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.