Manny's Variety Picks

[Elite] Cleveland Cavaliers -8.5 (+102) | WinProb: 98.5% — Void

Manny's Variety Picks published Cleveland Cavaliers -8.5 (+102) at +102 on 2026-04-19 in NBA. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it was voided, settling +0.00 units.

The record

Selection
Cleveland Cavaliers -8.5 (+102)
Event
Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Price published at
+102
Market open → close
+102 → +165
Closing line value
-11.8 percentage points
Result
voided
Profit / loss
+0.00 units
Published
2026-04-19
Graded
2026-05-09

What the price required

At +102, this selection had to win 49.5% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at +102 and the market closed at +165, a closing line value of -11.8 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or NBA coverage on the NBA page.