NBA Alt Total of the Day — Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Over 208.5 — Won

Manny's Variety Picks published Over 208.5 at -145 on 2026-05-09 in NBA. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it won, settling +1.03 units.

The record

Selection

Over 208.5

Event

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers

Price published at

-145

Market open → close

-145 → -115

Closing line value

-5.7 percentage points

Result

won

Profit / loss

+1.03 units

Published

2026-05-09

Graded

2026-05-10

What the price required

At -145, this selection had to win 59.2% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -145 and the market closed at -115, a closing line value of -5.7 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or NBA coverage on the NBA page.