NBA Alt Spread of the Day — Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5 — Lost

Manny's Variety Picks published Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5 at -214 on 2026-05-11 in NBA. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it lost, settling -1.50 units.

The record

Selection

Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5

Event

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers

Price published at

-214

Market open → close

-214 → +145

Closing line value

-27.3 percentage points

Result

lost

Profit / loss

-1.50 units

Published

2026-05-11

Graded

2026-05-12

What the price required

At -214, this selection had to win 68.2% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -214 and the market closed at +145, a closing line value of -27.3 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or NBA coverage on the NBA page.