MLB Play of the Night — CHC @ ATL — ML: Chicago Cubs — Won

Manny's Variety Picks published Chicago Cubs at +135 on 2026-05-14 in MLB. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it won, settling +1.35 units.

The record

Selection

Chicago Cubs

Event

CHC @ ATL

Price published at

+135

Market open → close

-144 → +135

Closing line value

-16.5 percentage points

Result

won

Profit / loss

+1.35 units

Published

2026-05-14

Graded

2026-05-15

What the price required

At +135, this selection had to win 42.6% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at +135 and the market closed at +135, a closing line value of -16.5 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or MLB coverage on the MLB page.