Manny's Variety Picks

NBA Alt Spread of the Day — Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs San Antonio Spurs +2.5 — Lost

Manny's Variety Picks published San Antonio Spurs +2.5 at -146 on 2026-05-22 in NBA. The selection was locked before the event started and graded against official results: it lost, settling -1.50 units.

The record

Selection
San Antonio Spurs +2.5
Event
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
Price published at
-146
Market open → close
-146 → -115
Closing line value
-5.9 percentage points
Result
lost
Profit / loss
-1.50 units
Published
2026-05-22
Graded
2026-05-23

What the price required

At -146, this selection had to win 59.3% of the time simply to break even — that is what the price itself demanded, before any view about the event.

What the market did afterwards

This selection was taken at -146 and the market closed at -115, a closing line value of -5.9 percentage points. Closing line value measures whether the price beaten was better than the one the market settled on; it is the strongest available leading indicator that a model is pricing something the market had not yet.

How this report was produced

A sport-specific model simulates the event to a win probability, which is compared with the live market price; the selection is locked before the event starts and graded against official final data. Full method on the methodology page.

The full record

This report is one entry in a permanent public ledger — winning and losing alike, nothing removed after the fact. Browse the complete graded record, the report archive, or NBA coverage on the NBA page.