MLB Results
The complete graded record for MLB, drawn from the same permanent public ledger as every other sport.
MLB verified record
Every figure below is computed from the same permanent public ledger, split by the methodology that produced it. Records are shown with their full denominator and the break-even the prices actually required — a win rate on its own says nothing about whether a bet was worth making.
Where the model has beaten the price
MLB YRFI Historical methodology
MLB YRFI went 43-30 (58.9%) across 73 graded selections from 2026-05-06 to 2026-08-04, +4.16 units at +7.77% ROI. The prices taken required 54.8% to break even. Methodology: E1_pre_dated_selector.
- Record
- 43-30 (58.9%)
- Graded selections
- 73
- Period
- 2026-05-06 to 2026-08-04
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 54.8%
- Margin over break-even
- +4.1 points
- Units
- +4.16
- Return on stake
- +7.77%
- Methodology
- E1_pre_dated_selector
MLB Moneyline Historical methodology
MLB Moneyline went 70-54-2 (56.5%) across 126 graded selections from 2026-04-12 to 2026-08-04, +10.96 units at +7.05% ROI. The prices taken required 54.6% to break even. Methodology: E1_pre_ladder.
- Record
- 70-54-2 (56.5%)
- Graded selections
- 126
- Period
- 2026-04-12 to 2026-08-04
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 54.6%
- Margin over break-even
- +1.8 points
- Units
- +10.96
- Return on stake
- +7.05%
- Methodology
- E1_pre_ladder
MLB Play of the Night Historical methodology
MLB Play of the Night went 22-15-1 (59.5%) across 38 graded selections from 2026-04-18 to 2026-08-04, +2.44 units at +5.91% ROI. The prices taken required 56.2% to break even. Methodology: E1_pre_dated_selector.
- Record
- 22-15-1 (59.5%)
- Graded selections
- 38
- Period
- 2026-04-18 to 2026-08-04
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 56.2%
- Margin over break-even
- +3.3 points
- Units
- +2.44
- Return on stake
- +5.91%
- Methodology
- E1_pre_dated_selector
MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto Historical methodology
MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto went 4-42 (8.7%) across 46 graded selections from 2026-07-29 to 2026-08-30, +2.05 units at +8.91% ROI. The prices taken required 7.9% to break even. Methodology: quality-bar-v1.
- Record
- 4-42 (8.7%)
- Graded selections
- 46
- Period
- 2026-07-29 to 2026-08-30
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 7.9%
- Margin over break-even
- +0.8 points
- Units
- +2.05
- Return on stake
- +8.91%
- Methodology
- quality-bar-v1
MLB Total Historical methodology
MLB Total went 36-29-6 (55.4%) across 71 graded selections from 2026-04-12 to 2026-08-04, +0.44 units at +0.87% ROI. The prices taken required 51.8% to break even. Methodology: E1_pre_dated_selector.
- Record
- 36-29-6 (55.4%)
- Graded selections
- 71
- Period
- 2026-04-12 to 2026-08-04
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 51.8%
- Margin over break-even
- +3.6 points
- Units
- +0.44
- Return on stake
- +0.87%
- Methodology
- E1_pre_dated_selector
MLB Moneyline of the Day Current methodology
MLB Moneyline of the Day went 34-20-1 (63%) across 55 graded selections from 2026-06-02 to 2026-08-04, +0.15 units at +0.27% ROI. The prices taken required 61% to break even. Methodology: E1_single_era.
- Record
- 34-20-1 (63%)
- Graded selections
- 55
- Period
- 2026-06-02 to 2026-08-04
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 61%
- Margin over break-even
- +2 points
- Units
- +0.15
- Return on stake
- +0.27%
- Methodology
- E1_single_era
MLB Moneyline (second slot) Current methodology
MLB Moneyline (second slot) went 67-47 (58.8%) across 114 graded selections from 2026-04-15 to 2026-09-10, +0.78 units at +0.67% ROI. The prices taken required 58.7% to break even. Methodology: E1_single_era.
- Record
- 67-47 (58.8%)
- Graded selections
- 114
- Period
- 2026-04-15 to 2026-09-10
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 58.7%
- Margin over break-even
- +0.1 points
- Units
- +0.78
- Return on stake
- +0.67%
- Methodology
- E1_single_era
Where it has not
Published with the same denominator as everything above. A record that only shows its winners is not a record.
MLB NRFI Published result
MLB NRFI went 22-24 (47.8%) across 46 graded selections from 2026-05-06 to 2026-07-09, -3.97 units at -10.04% ROI. The prices taken required 53.3% to break even. Methodology: E1_single_era.
- Record
- 22-24 (47.8%)
- Graded selections
- 46
- Period
- 2026-05-06 to 2026-07-09
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 53.3%
- Margin over break-even
- -5.5 points
- Units
- -3.97
- Return on stake
- -10.04%
- Methodology
- E1_single_era
MLB Quality Parlay — Value Published result
MLB Quality Parlay — Value went 6-39 (13.3%) across 45 graded selections from 2026-07-29 to 2026-08-30, -3.94 units at -17.51% ROI. The prices taken required 15.2% to break even. Methodology: quality-bar-v1.
- Record
- 6-39 (13.3%)
- Graded selections
- 45
- Period
- 2026-07-29 to 2026-08-30
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 15.2%
- Margin over break-even
- -1.8 points
- Units
- -3.94
- Return on stake
- -17.51%
- Methodology
- quality-bar-v1
MLB Total Published result
MLB Total went 13-22-2 (37.1%) across 37 graded selections from 2026-08-05 to 2026-09-10, -7.13 units at -25.7% ROI. The prices taken required 51.8% to break even. Methodology: tod_v1_2026_08_05.
- Record
- 13-22-2 (37.1%)
- Graded selections
- 37
- Period
- 2026-08-05 to 2026-09-10
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 51.8%
- Margin over break-even
- -14.6 points
- Units
- -7.13
- Return on stake
- -25.7%
- Methodology
- tod_v1_2026_08_05
MLB Run Line Published result
MLB Run Line went 19-18 (51.4%) across 37 graded selections from 2026-08-05 to 2026-09-10, -6.75 units at -18.37% ROI. The prices taken required 62.8% to break even. Methodology: rlod_v1_2026_08_05.
- Record
- 19-18 (51.4%)
- Graded selections
- 37
- Period
- 2026-08-05 to 2026-09-10
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 62.8%
- Margin over break-even
- -11.5 points
- Units
- -6.75
- Return on stake
- -18.37%
- Methodology
- rlod_v1_2026_08_05
MLB Moneyline Published result
MLB Moneyline went 13-23 (36.1%) across 36 graded selections from 2026-08-05 to 2026-08-25, -12.75 units at -32.29% ROI. The prices taken required 53% to break even. Methodology: ml_ladder_v1_2026_08_05.
- Record
- 13-23 (36.1%)
- Graded selections
- 36
- Period
- 2026-08-05 to 2026-08-25
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 53%
- Margin over break-even
- -16.9 points
- Units
- -12.75
- Return on stake
- -32.29%
- Methodology
- ml_ladder_v1_2026_08_05
MLB Quality Parlay — Safe Published result
MLB Quality Parlay — Safe went 12-20 (37.5%) across 32 graded selections from 2026-06-10 to 2026-07-28, -3.88 units at -23.52% ROI. The prices taken required 47.1% to break even. Methodology: quality-bar-v1.
- Record
- 12-20 (37.5%)
- Graded selections
- 32
- Period
- 2026-06-10 to 2026-07-28
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 47.1%
- Margin over break-even
- -9.6 points
- Units
- -3.88
- Return on stake
- -23.52%
- Methodology
- quality-bar-v1
MLB Quality Parlay — Safe Published result
MLB Quality Parlay — Safe went 12-20 (37.5%) across 32 graded selections from 2026-07-29 to 2026-08-30, -1.22 units at -7.63% ROI. The prices taken required 39.4% to break even. Methodology: quality-bar-v1.
- Record
- 12-20 (37.5%)
- Graded selections
- 32
- Period
- 2026-07-29 to 2026-08-30
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 39.4%
- Margin over break-even
- -1.9 points
- Units
- -1.22
- Return on stake
- -7.63%
- Methodology
- quality-bar-v1
MLB Quality Parlay — Value Published result
MLB Quality Parlay — Value went 7-20 (25.9%) across 27 graded selections from 2026-06-10 to 2026-07-28, -6.31 units at -45.87% ROI. The prices taken required 36.4% to break even. Methodology: quality-bar-v1.
- Record
- 7-20 (25.9%)
- Graded selections
- 27
- Period
- 2026-06-10 to 2026-07-28
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 36.4%
- Margin over break-even
- -10.5 points
- Units
- -6.31
- Return on stake
- -45.87%
- Methodology
- quality-bar-v1
MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto Published result
MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto went 2-22 (8.3%) across 24 graded selections from 2026-06-12 to 2026-07-28, -1.51 units at -12.62% ROI. The prices taken required 12.5% to break even. Methodology: quality-bar-v1.
- Record
- 2-22 (8.3%)
- Graded selections
- 24
- Period
- 2026-06-12 to 2026-07-28
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 12.5%
- Margin over break-even
- -4.1 points
- Units
- -1.51
- Return on stake
- -12.62%
- Methodology
- quality-bar-v1
MLB Play of the Night Published result
MLB Play of the Night went 11-10 (52.4%) across 21 graded selections from 2026-08-06 to 2026-09-08, -0.73 units at -4.13% ROI. The prices taken required 55.2% to break even. Methodology: pon_strict_ml_v1.
- Record
- 11-10 (52.4%)
- Graded selections
- 21
- Period
- 2026-08-06 to 2026-09-08
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 55.2%
- Margin over break-even
- -2.8 points
- Units
- -0.73
- Return on stake
- -4.13%
- Methodology
- pon_strict_ml_v1
MLB Run Line Published result
MLB Run Line went 8-7 (53.3%) across 15 graded selections from 2026-04-16 to 2026-05-14, -3.25 units at -17.08% ROI. The prices taken required 59.8% to break even. Methodology: E1_pre_selector.
- Record
- 8-7 (53.3%)
- Graded selections
- 15
- Period
- 2026-04-16 to 2026-05-14
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 59.8%
- Margin over break-even
- -6.5 points
- Units
- -3.25
- Return on stake
- -17.08%
- Methodology
- E1_pre_selector
MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto Published result
MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto went 0-5 (0%) across 5 graded selections from 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-10, -5 units at -100% ROI. The prices taken required 15.8% to break even. Methodology: quality-recovery-daily-v9.
- Record
- 0-5 (0%)
- Graded selections
- 5
- Period
- 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-10
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 15.8%
- Margin over break-even
- -15.8 points
- Units
- -5
- Return on stake
- -100%
- Methodology
- quality-recovery-daily-v9
MLB Quality Parlay — Value Published result
MLB Quality Parlay — Value went 0-5 (0%) across 5 graded selections from 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-10, -5 units at -100% ROI. The prices taken required 22.1% to break even. Methodology: quality-recovery-daily-v9.
- Record
- 0-5 (0%)
- Graded selections
- 5
- Period
- 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-10
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 22.1%
- Margin over break-even
- -22.1 points
- Units
- -5
- Return on stake
- -100%
- Methodology
- quality-recovery-daily-v9
MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto Published result
MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto went 0-4 (0%) across 4 graded selections from 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-04, -3 units at -120% ROI. The prices taken required 9.9% to break even. Methodology: quality-recovery-daily-v8.
- Record
- 0-4 (0%)
- Graded selections
- 4
- Period
- 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-04
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 9.9%
- Margin over break-even
- -9.9 points
- Units
- -3
- Return on stake
- -120%
- Methodology
- quality-recovery-daily-v8
MLB YRFI Published result
MLB YRFI went 1-1 (50%) across 2 graded selections from 2026-08-05 to 2026-08-07, -0.28 units at -18.75% ROI. The prices taken required 57% to break even. Methodology: yrfi_v1_2026_08_05.
- Record
- 1-1 (50%)
- Graded selections
- 2
- Period
- 2026-08-05 to 2026-08-07
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 57%
- Margin over break-even
- -7 points
- Units
- -0.28
- Return on stake
- -18.75%
- Methodology
- yrfi_v1_2026_08_05
MLB Quality Parlay — Value Published result
MLB Quality Parlay — Value went 0-1 (0%) across 1 graded selections from 2026-08-31 to 2026-08-31, -0.5 units at -100% ROI. The prices taken required 53.3% to break even. Methodology: quality-hybrid-k-lotto45-v3.
- Record
- 0-1 (0%)
- Graded selections
- 1
- Period
- 2026-08-31 to 2026-08-31
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 53.3%
- Margin over break-even
- -53.3 points
- Units
- -0.5
- Return on stake
- -100%
- Methodology
- quality-hybrid-k-lotto45-v3
MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto Published result
MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto went 0-1 (0%) across 1 graded selections from 2026-08-31 to 2026-08-31, -0.5 units at -100% ROI. The prices taken required 7.2% to break even. Methodology: quality-hybrid-k-lotto45-v3.
- Record
- 0-1 (0%)
- Graded selections
- 1
- Period
- 2026-08-31 to 2026-08-31
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 7.2%
- Margin over break-even
- -7.2 points
- Units
- -0.5
- Return on stake
- -100%
- Methodology
- quality-hybrid-k-lotto45-v3
MLB Quality Parlay — Safe Published result
MLB Quality Parlay — Safe went 0-1 (0%) across 1 graded selections from 2026-08-31 to 2026-08-31, -0.75 units at -100% ROI. The prices taken required 71.4% to break even. Methodology: quality-hybrid-k-lotto45-v3.
- Record
- 0-1 (0%)
- Graded selections
- 1
- Period
- 2026-08-31 to 2026-08-31
- Break-even required by the prices taken
- 71.4%
- Margin over break-even
- -71.4 points
- Units
- -0.75
- Return on stake
- -100%
- Methodology
- quality-hybrid-k-lotto45-v3