MVP — Manny's Variety Picks

ATLAS Report Archive

Every report ATLAS has published, kept permanently. A report covers one selection: what was chosen, at what price, on what probability, and how it settled.

Settled reports are open to everyone as public record. Reports on events that have not yet started are part of the subscription.

Verified performance record

Every figure below is computed from the same permanent public ledger, split by the methodology that produced it. Records are shown with their full denominator and the break-even the prices actually required — a win rate on its own says nothing about whether a bet was worth making.

Where the model has beaten the price

  • MLB YRFI Current methodology

    MLB YRFI went 21-10 (67.7%) across 31 graded selections from 2026-08-16 to 2026-09-27, +3.99 units at +16.96% ROI. The prices taken required 58% to break even. Methodology: yrfi_floor_52_2026_08_12.

    Record
    21-10 (67.7%)
    Graded selections
    31
    Period
    2026-08-16 to 2026-09-27
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    58%
    Margin over break-even
    +9.7 points
    Units
    +3.99
    Return on stake
    +16.96%
    Methodology
    yrfi_floor_52_2026_08_12

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB YRFI Historical methodology

    MLB YRFI went 43-30 (58.9%) across 73 graded selections from 2026-05-06 to 2026-08-04, +4.16 units at +7.77% ROI. The prices taken required 54.8% to break even. Methodology: E1_pre_dated_selector.

    Record
    43-30 (58.9%)
    Graded selections
    73
    Period
    2026-05-06 to 2026-08-04
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    54.8%
    Margin over break-even
    +4.1 points
    Units
    +4.16
    Return on stake
    +7.77%
    Methodology
    E1_pre_dated_selector

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Moneyline Historical methodology

    MLB Moneyline went 70-54-2 (56.5%) across 126 graded selections from 2026-04-12 to 2026-08-04, +10.96 units at +7.05% ROI. The prices taken required 54.6% to break even. Methodology: E1_pre_ladder.

    Record
    70-54-2 (56.5%)
    Graded selections
    126
    Period
    2026-04-12 to 2026-08-04
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    54.6%
    Margin over break-even
    +1.8 points
    Units
    +10.96
    Return on stake
    +7.05%
    Methodology
    E1_pre_ladder

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Play of the Night Historical methodology

    MLB Play of the Night went 22-15-1 (59.5%) across 38 graded selections from 2026-04-18 to 2026-08-04, +2.44 units at +5.91% ROI. The prices taken required 56.2% to break even. Methodology: E1_pre_dated_selector.

    Record
    22-15-1 (59.5%)
    Graded selections
    38
    Period
    2026-04-18 to 2026-08-04
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    56.2%
    Margin over break-even
    +3.3 points
    Units
    +2.44
    Return on stake
    +5.91%
    Methodology
    E1_pre_dated_selector

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto Historical methodology

    MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto went 4-42 (8.7%) across 46 graded selections from 2026-07-29 to 2026-08-30, +2.05 units at +8.91% ROI. The prices taken required 7.9% to break even. Methodology: quality-bar-v1.

    Record
    4-42 (8.7%)
    Graded selections
    46
    Period
    2026-07-29 to 2026-08-30
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    7.9%
    Margin over break-even
    +0.8 points
    Units
    +2.05
    Return on stake
    +8.91%
    Methodology
    quality-bar-v1

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Total Historical methodology

    MLB Total went 36-29-6 (55.4%) across 71 graded selections from 2026-04-12 to 2026-08-04, +0.44 units at +0.87% ROI. The prices taken required 51.8% to break even. Methodology: E1_pre_dated_selector.

    Record
    36-29-6 (55.4%)
    Graded selections
    71
    Period
    2026-04-12 to 2026-08-04
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    51.8%
    Margin over break-even
    +3.6 points
    Units
    +0.44
    Return on stake
    +0.87%
    Methodology
    E1_pre_dated_selector

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Moneyline of the Day Current methodology

    MLB Moneyline of the Day went 34-20-1 (63%) across 55 graded selections from 2026-06-02 to 2026-08-04, +0.15 units at +0.27% ROI. The prices taken required 61% to break even. Methodology: E1_single_era.

    Record
    34-20-1 (63%)
    Graded selections
    55
    Period
    2026-06-02 to 2026-08-04
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    61%
    Margin over break-even
    +2 points
    Units
    +0.15
    Return on stake
    +0.27%
    Methodology
    E1_single_era

    See every graded selection behind this record

Where it has not

Published with the same denominator as everything above. A record that only shows its winners is not a record.

  • MLB Moneyline (second slot) Published result

    MLB Moneyline (second slot) went 77-56 (57.9%) across 133 graded selections from 2026-04-15 to 2026-10-04, -1.35 units at -1% ROI. The prices taken required 59.2% to break even. Methodology: E1_single_era.

    Record
    77-56 (57.9%)
    Graded selections
    133
    Period
    2026-04-15 to 2026-10-04
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    59.2%
    Margin over break-even
    -1.3 points
    Units
    -1.35
    Return on stake
    -1%
    Methodology
    E1_single_era

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Total Published result

    MLB Total went 19-38-2 (33.3%) across 59 graded selections from 2026-08-05 to 2026-10-04, -15.63 units at -32.56% ROI. The prices taken required 51.5% to break even. Methodology: tod_v1_2026_08_05.

    Record
    19-38-2 (33.3%)
    Graded selections
    59
    Period
    2026-08-05 to 2026-10-04
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    51.5%
    Margin over break-even
    -18.2 points
    Units
    -15.63
    Return on stake
    -32.56%
    Methodology
    tod_v1_2026_08_05

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Run Line Published result

    MLB Run Line went 36-23 (61%) across 59 graded selections from 2026-08-05 to 2026-10-04, -0.21 units at -0.35% ROI. The prices taken required 62.8% to break even. Methodology: rlod_v1_2026_08_05.

    Record
    36-23 (61%)
    Graded selections
    59
    Period
    2026-08-05 to 2026-10-04
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    62.8%
    Margin over break-even
    -1.8 points
    Units
    -0.21
    Return on stake
    -0.35%
    Methodology
    rlod_v1_2026_08_05

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Moneyline Published result

    MLB Moneyline went 21-28 (42.9%) across 49 graded selections from 2026-08-05 to 2026-10-03, -11.99 units at -22.2% ROI. The prices taken required 54.3% to break even. Methodology: ml_ladder_v1_2026_08_05.

    Record
    21-28 (42.9%)
    Graded selections
    49
    Period
    2026-08-05 to 2026-10-03
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    54.3%
    Margin over break-even
    -11.5 points
    Units
    -11.99
    Return on stake
    -22.2%
    Methodology
    ml_ladder_v1_2026_08_05

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB NRFI Published result

    MLB NRFI went 22-24 (47.8%) across 46 graded selections from 2026-05-06 to 2026-07-09, -3.97 units at -10.04% ROI. The prices taken required 53.3% to break even. Methodology: E1_single_era.

    Record
    22-24 (47.8%)
    Graded selections
    46
    Period
    2026-05-06 to 2026-07-09
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    53.3%
    Margin over break-even
    -5.5 points
    Units
    -3.97
    Return on stake
    -10.04%
    Methodology
    E1_single_era

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Value Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Value went 6-39 (13.3%) across 45 graded selections from 2026-07-29 to 2026-08-30, -3.94 units at -17.51% ROI. The prices taken required 15.2% to break even. Methodology: quality-bar-v1.

    Record
    6-39 (13.3%)
    Graded selections
    45
    Period
    2026-07-29 to 2026-08-30
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    15.2%
    Margin over break-even
    -1.8 points
    Units
    -3.94
    Return on stake
    -17.51%
    Methodology
    quality-bar-v1

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Safe Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Safe went 12-20 (37.5%) across 32 graded selections from 2026-06-10 to 2026-07-28, -3.88 units at -23.52% ROI. The prices taken required 47.1% to break even. Methodology: quality-bar-v1.

    Record
    12-20 (37.5%)
    Graded selections
    32
    Period
    2026-06-10 to 2026-07-28
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    47.1%
    Margin over break-even
    -9.6 points
    Units
    -3.88
    Return on stake
    -23.52%
    Methodology
    quality-bar-v1

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Safe Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Safe went 12-20 (37.5%) across 32 graded selections from 2026-07-29 to 2026-08-30, -1.22 units at -7.63% ROI. The prices taken required 39.4% to break even. Methodology: quality-bar-v1.

    Record
    12-20 (37.5%)
    Graded selections
    32
    Period
    2026-07-29 to 2026-08-30
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    39.4%
    Margin over break-even
    -1.9 points
    Units
    -1.22
    Return on stake
    -7.63%
    Methodology
    quality-bar-v1

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Value Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Value went 7-20 (25.9%) across 27 graded selections from 2026-06-10 to 2026-07-28, -6.31 units at -45.87% ROI. The prices taken required 36.4% to break even. Methodology: quality-bar-v1.

    Record
    7-20 (25.9%)
    Graded selections
    27
    Period
    2026-06-10 to 2026-07-28
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    36.4%
    Margin over break-even
    -10.5 points
    Units
    -6.31
    Return on stake
    -45.87%
    Methodology
    quality-bar-v1

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto went 2-22 (8.3%) across 24 graded selections from 2026-06-12 to 2026-07-28, -1.51 units at -12.62% ROI. The prices taken required 12.5% to break even. Methodology: quality-bar-v1.

    Record
    2-22 (8.3%)
    Graded selections
    24
    Period
    2026-06-12 to 2026-07-28
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    12.5%
    Margin over break-even
    -4.1 points
    Units
    -1.51
    Return on stake
    -12.62%
    Methodology
    quality-bar-v1

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Run Line Published result

    MLB Run Line went 8-7 (53.3%) across 15 graded selections from 2026-04-16 to 2026-05-14, -3.25 units at -17.08% ROI. The prices taken required 59.8% to break even. Methodology: E1_pre_selector.

    Record
    8-7 (53.3%)
    Graded selections
    15
    Period
    2026-04-16 to 2026-05-14
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    59.8%
    Margin over break-even
    -6.5 points
    Units
    -3.25
    Return on stake
    -17.08%
    Methodology
    E1_pre_selector

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Value Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Value went 1-6 (14.3%) across 7 graded selections from 2026-09-12 to 2026-09-20, -3.91 units at -55.86% ROI. The prices taken required 28.7% to break even. Methodology: quality-recovery-daily-v11.

    Record
    1-6 (14.3%)
    Graded selections
    7
    Period
    2026-09-12 to 2026-09-20
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    28.7%
    Margin over break-even
    -14.4 points
    Units
    -3.91
    Return on stake
    -55.86%
    Methodology
    quality-recovery-daily-v11

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Safe Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Safe went 2-4 (33.3%) across 6 graded selections from 2026-09-22 to 2026-09-27, -2.54 units at -42.33% ROI. The prices taken required 53.3% to break even. Methodology: quality-recovery-daily-v12.

    Record
    2-4 (33.3%)
    Graded selections
    6
    Period
    2026-09-22 to 2026-09-27
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    53.3%
    Margin over break-even
    -20 points
    Units
    -2.54
    Return on stake
    -42.33%
    Methodology
    quality-recovery-daily-v12

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto went 0-5 (0%) across 5 graded selections from 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-10, -5 units at -100% ROI. The prices taken required 15.8% to break even. Methodology: quality-recovery-daily-v9.

    Record
    0-5 (0%)
    Graded selections
    5
    Period
    2026-09-05 to 2026-09-10
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    15.8%
    Margin over break-even
    -15.8 points
    Units
    -5
    Return on stake
    -100%
    Methodology
    quality-recovery-daily-v9

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Value Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Value went 0-5 (0%) across 5 graded selections from 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-10, -5 units at -100% ROI. The prices taken required 22.1% to break even. Methodology: quality-recovery-daily-v9.

    Record
    0-5 (0%)
    Graded selections
    5
    Period
    2026-09-05 to 2026-09-10
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    22.1%
    Margin over break-even
    -22.1 points
    Units
    -5
    Return on stake
    -100%
    Methodology
    quality-recovery-daily-v9

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto went 0-4 (0%) across 4 graded selections from 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-04, -3 units at -120% ROI. The prices taken required 9.9% to break even. Methodology: quality-recovery-daily-v8.

    Record
    0-4 (0%)
    Graded selections
    4
    Period
    2026-09-01 to 2026-09-04
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    9.9%
    Margin over break-even
    -9.9 points
    Units
    -3
    Return on stake
    -120%
    Methodology
    quality-recovery-daily-v8

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto went 0-4 (0%) across 4 graded selections from 2026-09-13 to 2026-09-18, -4 units at -100% ROI. The prices taken required 21.9% to break even. Methodology: quality-recovery-daily-v11.

    Record
    0-4 (0%)
    Graded selections
    4
    Period
    2026-09-13 to 2026-09-18
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    21.9%
    Margin over break-even
    -21.9 points
    Units
    -4
    Return on stake
    -100%
    Methodology
    quality-recovery-daily-v11

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Value Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Value went 1-3 (25%) across 4 graded selections from 2026-09-22 to 2026-09-27, -1.17 units at -29.25% ROI. The prices taken required 39.4% to break even. Methodology: quality-recovery-daily-v12.

    Record
    1-3 (25%)
    Graded selections
    4
    Period
    2026-09-22 to 2026-09-27
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    39.4%
    Margin over break-even
    -14.4 points
    Units
    -1.17
    Return on stake
    -29.25%
    Methodology
    quality-recovery-daily-v12

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB YRFI Published result

    MLB YRFI went 1-1 (50%) across 2 graded selections from 2026-08-05 to 2026-08-07, -0.28 units at -18.75% ROI. The prices taken required 57% to break even. Methodology: yrfi_v1_2026_08_05.

    Record
    1-1 (50%)
    Graded selections
    2
    Period
    2026-08-05 to 2026-08-07
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    57%
    Margin over break-even
    -7 points
    Units
    -0.28
    Return on stake
    -18.75%
    Methodology
    yrfi_v1_2026_08_05

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto went 0-2 (0%) across 2 graded selections from 2026-09-22 to 2026-09-23, -2 units at -100% ROI. The prices taken required 25.6% to break even. Methodology: quality-recovery-daily-v12.

    Record
    0-2 (0%)
    Graded selections
    2
    Period
    2026-09-22 to 2026-09-23
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    25.6%
    Margin over break-even
    -25.6 points
    Units
    -2
    Return on stake
    -100%
    Methodology
    quality-recovery-daily-v12

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Value Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Value went 0-1 (0%) across 1 graded selections from 2026-09-11 to 2026-09-11, -1 units at -100% ROI. The prices taken required 16.7% to break even. Methodology: quality-recovery-daily-v10.

    Record
    0-1 (0%)
    Graded selections
    1
    Period
    2026-09-11 to 2026-09-11
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    16.7%
    Margin over break-even
    -16.7 points
    Units
    -1
    Return on stake
    -100%
    Methodology
    quality-recovery-daily-v10

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Value Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Value went 0-1 (0%) across 1 graded selections from 2026-08-31 to 2026-08-31, -0.5 units at -100% ROI. The prices taken required 53.3% to break even. Methodology: quality-hybrid-k-lotto45-v3.

    Record
    0-1 (0%)
    Graded selections
    1
    Period
    2026-08-31 to 2026-08-31
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    53.3%
    Margin over break-even
    -53.3 points
    Units
    -0.5
    Return on stake
    -100%
    Methodology
    quality-hybrid-k-lotto45-v3

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Lotto went 0-1 (0%) across 1 graded selections from 2026-08-31 to 2026-08-31, -0.5 units at -100% ROI. The prices taken required 7.2% to break even. Methodology: quality-hybrid-k-lotto45-v3.

    Record
    0-1 (0%)
    Graded selections
    1
    Period
    2026-08-31 to 2026-08-31
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    7.2%
    Margin over break-even
    -7.2 points
    Units
    -0.5
    Return on stake
    -100%
    Methodology
    quality-hybrid-k-lotto45-v3

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Safe Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Safe went 0-1 (0%) across 1 graded selections from 2026-08-31 to 2026-08-31, -0.75 units at -100% ROI. The prices taken required 71.4% to break even. Methodology: quality-hybrid-k-lotto45-v3.

    Record
    0-1 (0%)
    Graded selections
    1
    Period
    2026-08-31 to 2026-08-31
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    71.4%
    Margin over break-even
    -71.4 points
    Units
    -0.75
    Return on stake
    -100%
    Methodology
    quality-hybrid-k-lotto45-v3

    See every graded selection behind this record

  • MLB Quality Parlay — Safe Published result

    MLB Quality Parlay — Safe went 0-1 (0%) across 1 graded selections from 2026-10-04 to 2026-10-04, -1 units at -100% ROI. The prices taken required 29.2% to break even. Methodology: mlb-parlays-validated-legs-v1-2026-10-02.

    Record
    0-1 (0%)
    Graded selections
    1
    Period
    2026-10-04 to 2026-10-04
    Break-even required by the prices taken
    29.2%
    Margin over break-even
    -29.2 points
    Units
    -1
    Return on stake
    -100%
    Methodology
    mlb-parlays-validated-legs-v1-2026-10-02

    See every graded selection behind this record

Recently graded reports

Every published selection is recorded here, winning and losing alike.